Category Archives: Economic & Financial Modelling

Market May Crash Down Fast to Below 14,000 by 9/9/13

My GDP real-time thermometer model recently issued a strong warning about the US Stock Market.  The Dow30 has topped in August and it may crash down to from 13,500 to 14,000 by 9/9/13.  I post the warning from the model … Continue reading

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Protected: Market Watch – 02/11/2012

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Will Dow30 Have 2000 Point Movement Next Week?

My Real-Time GDP Thermometer Model tells me so.  But by common sense, I know it is simply NOT possible.

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The GDP of the U.S. Economy Should Expand Around 0.6% in Q3

The 0.6% growth is calculated based on my GDP Real-Time Thermometer Model.  It is much better than -3.5% contraction I expected back in July.  Thanks for the pickups of the economic activities in retail and wholesale levels which effectively compensate the contraction … Continue reading

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My Predictions on the U.S. GDP expansion in Q2, Q3 and Q4 / 2011

Based on 55 mainstream economists surveyed in July, they expect the GDP grows 1.9% on average for Q2, 3.1% for Q3 and Q4 this year.  Market expects the Q2 grew at 1.7%.  The followings are the forecasts based on my models for the U.S. economy: … Continue reading

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More Plunge in Next Two Days

This is just minuette wave (4) of minute wave [3] of minor wave 1 of intermediate wave (1) of primary wave [C].  I expect more downs in the next couple of days followed by a pull back then followed by another … Continue reading

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Protected: Relationship between Vix and Dow 30 Price Movement

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