Category Archives: Economy

Market May Crash Down Fast to Below 14,000 by 9/9/13

My GDP real-time thermometer model recently issued a strong warning about the US Stock Market.  The Dow30 has topped in August and it may crash down to from 13,500 to 14,000 by 9/9/13.  I post the warning from the model … Continue reading

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The GDP of the U.S. Economy Should Expand Around 0.6% in Q3

The 0.6% growth is calculated based on my GDP Real-Time Thermometer Model.  It is much better than -3.5% contraction I expected back in July.  Thanks for the pickups of the economic activities in retail and wholesale levels which effectively compensate the contraction … Continue reading

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My Predictions on the U.S. GDP expansion in Q2, Q3 and Q4 / 2011

Based on 55 mainstream economists surveyed in July, they expect the GDP grows 1.9% on average for Q2, 3.1% for Q3 and Q4 this year.  Market expects the Q2 grew at 1.7%.  The followings are the forecasts based on my models for the U.S. economy: … Continue reading

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Gasoline Price and Sale

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Update on March Business Inventory

The business inventory continued to expand in March with about 1% growth rate.  This spells a heathy economic growth during that period of time.  But as I have said many times, this growth is powered by the inventory, not by the … Continue reading

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Consumer Price Index Since 2000

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Update on Business Inventory in February

I have no much to say about the February business inventory data beyond what I have said before on this topic.  Both the retail sale and business inventory are growing indicating a consistent economic growth in February.

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