Tag Archives: Bear

Protected: Elliott Wave Overlapping Factor F

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20 Reasons Why a Wall Street Panic May Be Close

US Muni bond indices collapsing US State bankruptcy procedures being seriously discussed, indicating bankruptcies are imminent the 7 day SHIBOR (and repo rate) surging to new multi-year highs and has literally exploded from 2.5% to 7.3% in a few short … Continue reading

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The Market Trends I Expect in 2011

Stock: Bearish Bond: Bearish Crude Oil: Bearish Gold: Neutral Dollar: Bullish

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Market Watch – 12/15/2010

The market is overdue for a correction but I expect the correction is shallow.  My wave count is that we are right now in the minor 5 of intermediate (C) of primary [B] of cycle c of supercycle (a) of grand supercycle [IV].  The minor … Continue reading

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The Bond Bubble Bursted?

This is on the background of QE2 that is anticipated to push down the yields and reduce the borrowing costs.  The market seems to say no to Bernanke.

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AAII Bull Bear Spread Indicates the Top Is Hit On 11/5/2010

The AAII Bull Bear Spread reaches 29.1% last week, close to multi-year high.  Particularly, the percent of the investors who are neutral hits 13.95%, the lowest since the 10/9/08 when market crashed to the bottom.  And those who are bullish reaches 57.56%, the highest … Continue reading

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Bond Market Looks Topped Already

When dumb money have finished entering the bond market, it is the time for the bond bubble to be broken.  With the QE2 by the Fed announced last Wednesday, the trend of decline of the bond prices accelerates.  The bond market has topped.

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The Yield of 10-Year Treasure Looks Bottomed

TNX bottomed at early October, then breaks the 50 day moving average and finds it as support.  This looks like a long-term bottom, a breaking point of bond bubble.

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Market Watch – 10/31/2010

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The AAII Bull Bear Spread Reaches 44 Months High

The AAII bull bear spread reached 29.6% on October 28, the highest that has been recorded since 2/22/07 when the spread topped at 31.5%.  The following graph shows the AAII weekly bull bear spread and its 8-week moving average. From … Continue reading

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Market Watch – 10/29/2010

The Q3 GDP comes as better than what I projected.  But there are scheduled revisions down the road.  We may have the last push to reach the top early next week with a double top pattern.  I anticipate to see bull will … Continue reading

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Market Watch – 10/21/2010

Gold looks topped already.  This divergence may be the topping process of the general market with gold leading the other sectors.

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Market Watch – 10/20/2010

Yesterday’s low marks the end of the correction wave b of (c) of [c].  Today’s bullish move kicked off the wave c that has high chance to finish between 10/28 and 11/03/2010.  The end of c is the top of the market. 10/29: … Continue reading

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Market Watch – 10/19/2010

Today’s plunge looks like a correction and just a b of (c) of [c] of B, there may still have wave c of (c) to go to finish the wave structures that could last up to 2 weeks before the real sell off. … Continue reading

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