Tag Archives: Top

Market Watch – 11/23/2010

As I have posted before, we have topped on 11/5/2010, Friday.  And I mark that top as the minor B wave.  The  big picture of the current wave count is that we are right now in subminuette c of minuette (a) of minute [a] … Continue reading

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Investor Advisor Sentiment Is Approaching Record Level

Each week the service Investors Intelligence surveys some 140 financial newsletter writers to determine whether they are leaning bullish or bearish in their opinions to subscribers. The resulting Investors Intelligence Survey compiles the data to arrive at a weekly percentage … Continue reading

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Market Is On The Edge of Crash.

Next 4-5 weeks will be very interesting.  First of all, the plunge of the CMI index from July to August suggests the economic activities will crash down in next 5 weeks. Second, the bond market looks topped already and the bond … Continue reading

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The Empire State Manufacturing Survey in November Plunges Sharply

The Empire State Manufacturing Survey indicates that conditions deteriorated in November for New York State manufacturers. For the first time since mid-2009, the general business conditions index fell below zero, declining 27 points to -11.1. The new orders index plummeted … Continue reading

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AAII Bull Bear Spread Indicates the Top Is Hit On 11/5/2010

The AAII Bull Bear Spread reaches 29.1% last week, close to multi-year high.  Particularly, the percent of the investors who are neutral hits 13.95%, the lowest since the 10/9/08 when market crashed to the bottom.  And those who are bullish reaches 57.56%, the highest … Continue reading

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Bond Market Looks Topped Already

When dumb money have finished entering the bond market, it is the time for the bond bubble to be broken.  With the QE2 by the Fed announced last Wednesday, the trend of decline of the bond prices accelerates.  The bond market has topped.

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Market Watch – 11/05/2010

Market has priced in the growth rate of 2% of the U.S. economic activities right in today.  That is reflected in the Dow 30 price of  more than 11,400.  But the CMI index projects the consumer spending contracts at about 4% rate … Continue reading

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